Predicting The 2019 Colts Season

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Predicting The 2019 Colts Season

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Predicting The 2019 Colts Season

Here’s a game-by-game predication of the Colts 2019 regular season. What will be the final win/loss record?

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INDIANAPOLISThose in Vegas have lowered the over/under by around two games.

 

What was a 9.5 win over/under for the Colts with Andrew Luck, has now been lowered to around 7.5 with Jacoby Brissett.

 

Will the Colts again be able to exceed expectations?

 

Here’s a game-by-game prediction of the 2019 Colts:

 

Week 1: at Chargers: Loss, 24-20 (0-1)

It’s been since 2013 that the Colts last won a season opener. The Chargers are dealing with three pretty major subtractions for Sunday, but that’s still not enough to push me fully into the ‘Colts win’ territory. I think the Colts keep it competitive, but the Hall of Fame QB of Philip Rivers makes the plays late. The Colts will lose their season opener for a 6th straight year.

 

Week 2: at Titans: Loss, 23-20 (0-2)

 

For the first time since 2004, the Colts will open up on the road for the first two weeks of the season. The Colts have won 18 of their past 21 games over the Titans, so there’s gobs of pressure on Tennessee to end Indy’s dominance. I see the Titans finally getting over the hump, in the Colts’ lone divisional contest for the first month and a half of the season.

 

Week 3: Falcons: Win, 30-24 (1-2)

 

The home opener for the Colts does come against a team that has some notable offensive talent. On paper, this is one of the more difficult home games the Colts will have in 2019. The Colts offense comes to life in this one, routinely moving the ball up and down the field, and outscoring Matt Ryan and Julio Jones.

 

Week 4: Raiders: Win, 34-20 (2-2)

 

Who the hell knows with the Raiders. I mean they have some talent, but they also are a real-life soap opera. By Week Four, Antonio Brown might be wearing a spacesuit to play football. Given the games around this contest for the Colts, they really need this one and I think they’ll pull away and have control, unlike the back and forth game these two played last October.

 

Week 5: at Chiefs: Loss, 31-17 (2-3)

 

The toughest AFC Game on the 2019 schedule for the Colts has them heading back to Arrowhead Stadium. It was an embarrassing performance by the Colts in last year’s AFC Divisional Round. While I think this matchup will be more competitive, I still can’t see the Colts having enough offensive firepower to win a huge road game.

 

Week 6: Bye

 

Week 7: Texans Loss, 27-24 (2-4)

 

This meeting at Lucas Oil Stadium last year was a thriller. Even though the Colts lost a heartbreaker in overtime, both teams saw their seasons totally turn for the better after their Week Four matchup in Indianapolis. Like many divisional games for the Colts in 2019, they all are really close to a coin flip. The Texans still have some notable skill talent around DeShaun Watson, and I think they get this road victory after blowing one last year in Indy.
 

Week 8: Broncos Win, 24-20 (3-4)

 

On paper, Denver probably has the best edge rushing tandem in the NFL, with Von Miller and Bradley Chubb. But is Joe Flacco really the guy under center? I don’t think so, and I see the Colts getting back on track in a must-have game.

 

Week 9: at Steelers Loss, 28-17 (3-5)

 

The lone road game during a 5-week stretch for the Colts. Indianapolis will welcome some different looking personnel compared to the last 4 meetings with the Steelers. These past contests have not gone well for the Colts, with the Steelers outscoring Indianapolis 144-68 in their last 4 matchups. The Colts won’t get blown out, but I’m still going with Pittsburgh in this one.

 

Week 10: Dolphins Win, 37-17 (4-5)

 

Perhaps the easiest game the Colts have on their 2019 slate. There are some questions if the Dolphins are tanking in 2019. By Week 10, it might be Josh Rosen under center. I think it will be, so I’ll take the Colts in a blowout win.

 

Week 11: Jaguars Win, 23-17 (5-5)

 

The Colts get back to .500 with their first divisional win of the season. Jacksonville finally has an answer at quarterback (they think) with former Frank Reich pupil Nick Foles. That’s why some people see the Jaguars making a jump in 2019, possibly back into the postseason. I think the Colts split their two meetings with the Jaguars.

 

Week 12: at Texans Loss, 31-27 (5-6)

 

Even though the Colts have had great success in Houston as of late, I don’t like the short week feel to this one. This one could (will?) have massive AFC South implications. If some team can go 4-2 (or better) against the AFC South, they will be positioned quite well to capture a division filled with parity.
 

Week 13: Titans Win, 27-24 (6-6)

 

The last time the Titans swept the Colts in a season (outside of the lowly 2017 season for Indy)? 2002, aka the first year of the AFC South. While, I think both contests this year will be close, I’m going with the Colts salvaging a split heading into the final month of the season.
 

Week 14: at Buccaneers Win, 31-17 (7-6)

 

When you look at this year’s road schedule, a game like this one has to fall in the ‘win’ category. A victory in Tampa would also push the Colts above .500 as they reach the stretch run of the season. The Bucs have a lot of questions, including at quarterback, in Bruce Arians’ first season as head coach.

 

Week 15: at Saints Loss, 31-20 (7-7)

 

Perhaps the hardest game on the 2019 slate. It will be Drew Brees vs. Jacoby Brissett on Monday Night Football. It will be quite the challenge for the Colts to go into The Superdome and get a win over a team that will be hungry for more homefield in the playoffs. Slowing down Brees is too much for the Colts in this one.

 

Week 16: Panthers Win, 24-23 (8-7)

 

Teams like the Falcons and Panthers are a bit hard to judge this season. I’ve got the Colts winning both of those home meetings, but there’s some uncertainty. How Cam Newton looks health wise in Week 16 of the season is anyone’s guess. I’ll go with the Colts pulling out this win as they try and keep their playoff hopes alive.

 

Week 17: at Jaguars Loss, 20-13 (8-8)

 

It’s kind of crazy that the Colts haven’t won in Jacksonville since the 2014 season. This road trip was Indianapolis’ only loss in the final 11 weeks of the season last year. I still think the AFC South champ will have 10 wins in 2019. And the Colts fall two games short of that with a season finale loss against one of the more talented defenses in the league.

 

Overall Thoughts: Fans seem to be embracing a rallying cry around this Andrew Luck-less team. On a poll I ran on Twitter, more than 70 percent of the voters think the Colts will win at least 9 games. How I look at this season is I had the Colts going 11-5 with Andrew Luck under center. I think there’s a 3-win difference in going from Luck to Jacoby Brissett. While the Colts have a really solid team around Brissett, this schedule is still more difficult in 2019. It’s particularly challenging early in the season. There are some big swing games, outside of the division, with the Falcons, at Steelers and Panthers. I do think there’s a better chance the Colts go 10-6, versus 6-10. I’d be surprised if this season truly bottomed out to 6 wins or fewer.

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