Colts vs. Chargers Prediction

Colts vs. Chargers Prediction

Blog > Let's Parlay > Colts vs. Chargers Prediction

Colts vs. Chargers Prediction

Indy heads west for a clash with the Bolts in Los Angeles. Can they cover the spread?



NFL regular season football has arrived. Not gracefully, but it’s here. Somebody tell the NFC North the games matter now. Anybody. Bueller?


The Sunday slate is chock-full of exciting matchups (on paper), but you know why you’re here.

Colts @ Chargers (Sunday, 9/8 @ 4:05pm, ET)

It’s Jacoby’s time to shine against old man Rivers and the Bolts.


In previous articles I’ve mentioned how the spread on this game has shifted since the Luck announcement; we’re now looking at a total of 44.5 and a spread of 6.5. The Colts haven’t won a season opener since 2013, when they knocked off what would become a 4-12 Raiders squad. Of those Week 1 losses, only a single contest was decided by less than a touchdown (in 2016 against Detroit, 39-35). Not a great record, and it isn’t favorable for Sunday’s spread.


We’re well aware of the numerous positive changes the Colts franchise has made under the direction of Chris Ballard, so it is worthy to note that Indianapolis five years ago is not the team of today by any means. There is so much talk about the Week 1 letdowns of previous campaigns, but remember, there are two sides to every coin.


Can you guess how many regular season openers the Chargers have won since 2013?


Yep, one.


It’s the loneliest number that you'll ever do. But remember, two can be as bad as one. Now that’s music math, but I digress.


The takeaway? Something has to give. The total looks difficult to beat here. You’ll see something along the lines of 23-20, 27-21, or 21-17. There won’t be a dramatic pivot from the listed outcomes. One thing they all have in common? Indy covers.


Remember, running back Melvin Gordon is out of the picture in Los Angeles, and safety Derwin James is recovering from a broken foot. That’s two impact players, one on each side of the ball. Indy has the horses up front to neutralize the vaunted Bolts pass rush that sacked opposing quarterbacks 38 times in 2018. Sounds great, but Matt Eberflus’ defense posted the same number. And it was below league average.


Bad history and all, the Colts have something to prove to everyone in the Circle City and around the NFL. Andrew Luck is irreplaceable, but you must not know ‘bout Jacoby. Beyoncé reference, I’ll stop.


I’m siding with Indy to cover. We’ll place a modest $20 stake on the Colts at +6.5.


Bet: $20 on Indianapolis @ +6.5 (-105) to win $19.05



"It feels good to show some courage." --Joe Namath



Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images


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