NFL Week 2 Selections: On The Road Again

Advertisement

NFL Week 2 Selections: On The Road Again

Blog > Let's Parlay > NFL Week 2 Selections: On The Road Again

NFL Week 2 Selections: On The Road Again

Four NFL teams are on the road for a second straight game to open the 2019 season. Here's how you can take advantage.

Regression. It sounds like a harsh word, but it’s everything in sports wagering. There’s an old gambling quote that goes something like this: “Quit while you’re ahead.”

Nope, wrong one. Here we go: “Good teams are worse than you think, and bad teams are better than you think.”

It makes sense. Overreaction is common.

We’re all aware of the lackluster performance by the Indianapolis Colts special teams unit last Sunday. Three missed kicks, a deflected punt, the phantom penalty on an early field goal attempt. The good thing is, regression can also be positive. Don’t expect another game like that the rest of the year.

Enter the Tennessee Titans, a team that has gone 3-13 against Indy since 2011. Reggie Wayne let them hear it at the draft. The Titans are well aware of the atrocious record by now. Is it time for some “positive regression”?

There’s a fun Week 2 stat that seems to suggest Tennessee’s luck can change. Since 2015, teams that have opened the season on the road in back-to-back weeks have gone 2-13 straight up (on the moneyline) and 1-14 against the spread in their Week 2 contest. That is one powerful statistic.

The Colts qualify, having opened the season in Los Angeles. If that isn’t enough for you, the Titans made a mockery of “The People’s Super Bowl Champ”, Cleveland, last Sunday. Devin Funchess’ absence will create a noticeable void in size on the outside for Indy. This is a very tough spot for the Colts, and you’d be smart to bet with the trend.

Bet $25 on Tennessee (-3.5) @ +100 to win $25

Three other teams fit the trend:

Bet $25 on New York Giants (+2) @ -110 to win $22.73

Bet $25 on Oakland (+7.5) @ -130 to win $19.23

Bet $25 on Cincinnati (-1) @ -105 to win $23.81

Additional Moneyline Bets:

Bet $20 on New York Giants Moneyline @ +110 to win $22

Bet $20 on Cincinnati Moneyline @ -110 to win $18.18

 

"Just win, baby." -Al Davis

 

Photo by Justin Casterline/ Getty Images

Let's Parlay
One thing about sports betting that I learned a long time ago is that it never hurts to brush up on the basics. In...
Let's Parlay
NFL regular season football has arrived. Not gracefully, but it’s here. Somebody tell the NFC North the games...
Let's Parlay
The day has arrived. Three Indiana sportsbooks (Indiana Grand in Shelbyville, Ameristar Casino in East Chicago,...
Let's Parlay
Welcome to the official picks page for Let's Parlay! I'll continue to update my selections in real-time throughout...
Let's Parlay
The aftershocks from Andrew Luck’s sudden retirement can still be felt throughout the city of Indianapolis. Colts...